Monday, November 12, 2018

Texas A&M and Missouri join Alabama and six SEC other teams eligible for the 2018 college football postseason.

Texas A&M and Missouri finally joined the group of SEC teams that have the six-plus wins needed to be considered eligible for at least a 2018 postseason bowl game. The addition of the Aggies and Mizzou Tigers brings the number of postseason eligible SEC teams to nine.

South Carolina and Tennessee are still looking for the one win needed for a shot at the postseason, while 4-6 Vanderbilt will need to win out the rest of the season for a chance for a bowl bid.

The only teams guaranteed to miss out on the postseason are 2-9 Arkansas, and banhammered Ole Miss.

As for where the nine postseason eligible teams may be headed (as well as the three teams still with their postseason still alive), here are what SB*Nation's Jason Kirk, and CBS Sports' Jerry Palm currently feel what the 2018 postseason will look like.

Postseason Eligible (Six or more wins)

Alabama (10-0, 7-0) SEC

Postseason Projection

Kirk and Palm: College Football Playoff: 2018 Cotton Bowl Classic vs. Michigan (Dec. 29 @ AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX)

Kirk flipped from projecting 'Bama facing Notre Dame last week to joining with Palm in projecting 'Bama facing Michigan. This is sad in that if all four teams currently atop the CFP Committee's rankings (Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame, and Michigan) all win out and remain in their current places, The Crimson Tide won't have to worry about the possibility of having to go through two undefeated teams to repeat as CFP champions.

Georgia (9-1, 7-1 SEC)

Postseason Projection 

Kirk and Palm: 2019 Sugar Bowl vs. Oklahoma (Jan. 1, 2019 @ Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA)

UGA vs. Oklahoma, Part Deux. Oh joy.

LSU (8-2, 5-2 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2019 Fiesta Bowl vs. West Virginia (Jan. 1, 2019 @ State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ)

Palm: 2018 Peach Bowl vs. West Virginia (Dec. 29 @ Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA)

LSU defeated Florida State in the first Peach Bowl back in 1968. The Tigers have never been to the Fiesta Bowl.

Florida (7-3, 5-3 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2018 Peach Bowl vs. Central Florida

Palm: 2019 Fiesta Bowl vs. Central Florida

It's all starting to look like rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic from here on out.

Florida is 0-2 in its two Peach Bowl appearances (1981 vs. West Virginia, and 2010 vs. Miami). The Gators lost to Nebraska in the team's only Fiesta Bowl appearance in 1996 (the 1995 season's de facto  national title game).

Kentucky (7-3, 5-2 conference) 

Postseason Projection

Kirk and Palm: 2019 Citrus Bowl vs. Penn State (Jan. 1, 2019 @ Camping World Stadium, Orlando FL)

Kentucky has never been to the Citrus Bowl. The Wildcats are 2-3 against Penn St.

Texas A&M (6-4, 4-3 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2018 Music City Bowl vs. Virginia (Dec. 28 @ Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN)

Palm: 2018 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl vs. Wisconsin (Dec. 31, TIAA Field, Jacksonville, Fl.

Palm had Texas A&M facing Northwestern in Nashville last week. That was before Northwestern's WTF win over Iowa on Saturday that secured it the Big Ten West division title.

The Aggies have never played in The Music City Bowl, and were beaten 3-0 by Tennessee in its only Gator Bowl appearance back in 1957.

Auburn (6-4, 3-4 SEC)

Postseason projection

Kirk: 2018 Liberty Bowl vs. Baylor (Dec. 31 @ Liberty Bowl Stadium, Memphis, TN)

Palm: 2018 Texas Bowl vs. Texas Tech (Dec. 27 @ NRG Stadium, Houston, TX)

Palm is holding steadfast to his Texas Bowl projection for Auburn even after the Tiger's loss to Georgia. The loss did cause Kirk to revise his projection from last week of an Auburn vs. Virginia 2018 Belk Bowl.

Mississippi State (6-4, 2-4 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2018 Texas Bowl vs. Iowa State

Palm: 2019 Outback Bowl vs. Michigan State (Jan. 1, 2019 @ Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL)

Palm remains steadfast on his projection of a Mississippi St. vs. Michigan St. Outback Bowl, while Kirk has walked back from it.

Missouri (6-4, 2-4 SEC) 

Postseason Projection 

Kirk: 2019 Outback Bowl vs. Michigan St.

Palm: 2018 Music City Bowl vs. Boston College

WTF, Kirk? Missouri in the Outback Bowl? You should have stuck with the Mississippi St. vs. Michigan St. Outback Bowl projection you had last week.

Five Wins (Magic Number: 1 win)

South Carolina (5-4, 4-4 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2018 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl vs. Northwestern

Palm: 2018 Liberty Bowl vs. Baylor

Even with South Carolina at 4-4, it still has a better SEC conference record at the moment than six-win teams Auburn, Mississippi St., and Missouri.

What could keep South Carolina going to a better bowl than what Palm and Kirk have suggested? Possibly that a) Kentucky seems to have a lock on a Citrus Bowl bid at the moment, and b) the Gamecocks played in the 2018 Outback Bowl last season (where they beat Michigan 26-19), and that the neither the CFP committee nor the Outback Bowl's organizers want them going to Tampa two seasons in a row.

Tennessee (5-5, 2-4 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2018 Belk Bowl vs. North Carolina State (Dec. 29 @ Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC)

Palm: None

Surprise! Even with Tennessee's terrible conference schedule, it still has a chance to get a bowl invite this season. That's thanks in part to having Missouri (Nov. 17) and Vanderbilt (Nov. 24) as the final two teams on its schedule this season.

Four Wins (MN: 2)

Vanderbilt (4-6, 1-5 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk and Palm: None

Yes, Vanderbilt still has not been mathematically eliminated from a shot at a postseason bowl bid yet. The Commodores still have banhammered Ole Miss (Nov. 17) and Tennessee (Nov. 24) to finish out its 2018 regular season schedule, and surprisingly, winning both games really isn't that outrageous of a notion. Well, maybe it was for Kirk and Palm.

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