Sunday, November 4, 2018

Alabama, Auburn, UGA, three other SEC teams eligible for a postseason bowl game.

Postseason Eligibility Watch

Week 10 saw Auburn join Alabama, Georgia, LSU, Kentucky, and Florida in the group of SEC schools with the six or more wins needed to be considered eligible for 2018 postseason play.

Six of the remaining eight SEC conference teams still have a chance of making it to a postseason bowl game, with the exception of banhammered Ole Miss, and 2-7 Arkansas.

Here's where the postseason landscape stands at the moment. Projections are via Jason Kirk of SB*Nation, and Jerry Palm of CBS Sports.

Postseason Eligible (Six or more wins)

Alabama (9-0, 6-0 SEC) 

Postseason Projection 

Kirk: 2018 College Football Playoff: Cotton Bowl Classic vs. Notre Dame (Dec. 29 @ AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX)

Palm: 2018  Cotton Bowl Classic vs. Michigan

There's no change in projections from either Kirk or Palm when it comes to Alabama.

Georgia (8-1, 6-1 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2019 Sugar Bowl vs. Oklahoma (Jan. 1, 2019 @ Mercedes Benz Superdome, New Orleans, LA)

Palm: 2019 Sugar Bowl vs. Oklahoma

Dangit, Palm! I was hoping you would hold out condemning UGA to face Oklahoma for a second consecutive year until at least next week!

LSU (7-2, 4-2 SEC)

Postseason Projection: 

Kirk: 2018 Peach Bowl vs. West Virginia (Dec. 29  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA)

Palm: 2019 Fiesta Bowl vs. Central Florida (Jan. 1, 2019 @ State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ)

LSU's loss to Alabama probably has taken it out of contention for a spot in the College Football Playoff. That doesn't matter here as neither Kirk or Palm had LSU going to the CFP either last week or this week.

 Kirk moves the Tigers from last week's Fiesta Bowl projection to a Peach Bowl meeting with West Virginia.

Meanwhile Palm, who projected LSU for the Sugar Bowl last week, now has the team heading to the Fiesta Bowl facing Central Florida.

Kentucky (7-2, 5-2 SEC)

Postseason Projection


2019 Fiesta Bowl vs. UCF

Palm: 2018 Peach Bowl vs. West Virginia

Both Kirk and Palm have Kentucky in a New Year's Six bowl this week. This is notable considering the Wildcats losing to UGA on Saturday.

Kirk had Kentucky in the 2019 Citrus Bowl last week, so his Fiesta Bowl pick this week is a surprising upgrade.

Florida (6-3, 4-3 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2019 Citrus Bowl vs. Penn St. (Jan. 1, 2019 @ Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL)

Palm: 2019 Citrus Bowl vs. Wisconsin

Florida's 38-17 loss to Missouri on Saturday has led to Kirk dropping the Gators of the NY6 Peach Bowl to the Citrus Bowl, where Palm also has them heading.

Auburn (6-3, 3-3 SEC)

Postseason Projection 

Kirk: 2018 Belk Bowl vs. Virginia (Dec. 29 @ Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC)

Palm: 2018 Texas Bowl vs. Texas Tech (Dec. 27 @ NRG Stadium, Houston, TX)

Welcome to 2018 official postseason eligibility, Auburn! Too bad neither Kirk nor Palm were impressed enough with your win against Texas A&M to change their projections of your postseason destination from last week.

Mississippi State (6-3, 2-3 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2019 Outback Bowl vs. Michigan State (Jan 1, 2019 @ Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL)

Palm: 2019 Outback Bowl vs. Michigan St.

Mississippi St. earned its ticket to the 2018 postseason yesterday with a win over Louisiana Tech. It was apparently enough for Kirk and Palm to give the Bulldogs an upgrade from the Music City Bowl to the Outback Bowl.

Five or More Wins (Magic Number: 1)

Texas A&M (5-4, 3-3 SEC)

Postseason Projection 

Kirk: 2018 Music City Bowl vs. Boston College (Dec. 28 @ Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN)

Palm: 2018 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl vs. Northwestern (Dec. 31 @ TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville FL)

Palm and Kirk both had Texas A&M Outback Bowl bound last week. Now after the Aggies' Week 10 loss to Auburn had them sending the team in different directions.

South Carolina (5-3, 4-3 SEC) 

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2018 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl vs. Purdue

Palm: 2018 Liberty Bowl vs. Baylor (Dec. 31 @ Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN)

Kirk had South Carolina sitting out the postseason at home last week.

The Gamecocks added Akron to its 2018 schedule this week as a last-minute replacement for the Sept. 15 meeting with Marshall, which was cancelled over concerns over Hurricane Florence. The team probably would have made the postseason with a win over FCS school Chattanooga on Nov. 17, but the addition of Akron gives it a little more breathing room on the schedule.

Missouri (5-4, 1-4 SEC)

Postseason Projection 

Kirk: 2018 Texas Bowl vs. Iowa State

Palm: 2018 Music City Bowl vs. Boston College

Missouri's 2018 postseason hopes brightened up in Week 10 thanks to an upset over Florida. The Tigers host Vanderbilt on Nov. 10, face Tennessee in Knoxville on Nov. 17, then face hapless Arkansas on Nov. 23, so the odds of making it to a postseason bowl seem to be in their favor.

Four Wins (Magic Number: 2)

Tennessee (4-5, 1-4 SEC)

Postseason Projection

Kirk: 2018 Liberty Bowl vs. Baylor

Palm: None

Tennessee's final three games see the Volunteers hosting Kentucky on Nov. 10, Missouri on Nov. 17, and then ending the season in Nashville against Vanderbilt on Nov. 24. Wins over Mizzou and Vandy are the most likely roadmap for the Vols to follow if the team wants to make it to a bowl game.

Vanderbilt (4-5, 1-4 SEC) 

Postseason Projection

Kirk and Palm: None

Vanderbilt's last three games see the Commodores @ Missouri on Nov. 10, before hosting Ole Miss on Nov. 17, and then ending the season hosting in-state (of misery) rival Tennessee on Nov. 24. Keep hope alive, Vandy.

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